MARKET UPDATE: 9-28-2026

Week of September 21, 2026 in Review

Comments from Fed officials and headlines surrounding the conflict with Iran contributed to market volatility this week, while new home sales reached their highest pace of the year. Here's what you need to know.

  • Fed Comments, Geopolitical News Add to Market Volatility
  • New Home Sales Strengthen in August
  • Jobless Claims at a Glance
  • Family Hack of the Week
  • What to Watch Ahead

Fed Comments, Geopolitical News Add to Market Volatility

Comments from Federal Reserve officials were a key driver of market volatility this week. On Wednesday, Fed Governor Michael Barr said further rate increases may be needed to bring inflation back to the Fed’s 2% target “in a timely fashion.” He also said inflation risks have increased, while risks to the labor market have eased. New York Fed President John Williams and Philadelphia Fed President Anna Paulson also signaled that another rate hike may be appropriate on Thursday.

These comments came shortly after the Fed raised its benchmark Federal Funds Rate by 25 basis points at its September 16 meeting. Keep in mind that the Fed Funds Rate is the overnight borrowing rate for banks and is not the same as mortgage rates.

Geopolitical developments also added to market volatility. Comments from President Trump and Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian at the United Nations General Assembly increased uncertainty around the conflict and negotiations, with markets also watching the potential impact on oil prices.

Bottom line: The Fed has two meetings remaining this year, on October 27-28 and December 8-9. Following the latest comments, markets increased the odds of another rate hike at the October meeting.

New Home Sales Strengthen in August

August 2026 new home sales: 684,000 annualized, up 6.4% monthly and down 2% yearly; 483,000 homes for sale and 8.5 months of supply

New home sales rose 6.4% from July to August, reaching a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 684,000 – the highest pace of the year and above expectations. July’s sales were also revised higher by 36,000, to an annualized pace of 643,000. Compared with a year ago, August sales were down 2%.

Because the report is based on signed purchase contracts, the August results offer a snapshot of homebuyer activity during the month.

Bottom line: A 5.8% year-over-year decline in the median new home price led to some headlines suggesting that home prices are falling. But the median price can be heavily influenced by the mix of homes sold. In August, sales of homes priced below $500,000 increased notably from a year earlier, helping pull the median price lower.

In other words, a lower median sale price doesn’t necessarily mean home values are declining. Broader housing market data continues to point to home price appreciation nationwide.

Jobless Claims at a Glance

New unemployment claims edged down to 197,000, while continuing claims remained near 1.72 million.

Bottom line: Initial claims are still relatively low by historical standards, but they may not capture the full picture. Some people who lose their jobs may turn to freelance, contract or gig work instead of filing for unemployment, which could leave some weakness in the labor market out of the data.

Meanwhile, continuing claims have fallen from recent highs, but some of that decline may reflect benefits expiring rather than people finding new jobs.

Family Hack of the Week

Try these Apple Cinnamon Pancakes, courtesy of Food Network, in honor of National Pancake Day on September 26 or any time you want a special treat. Yields about 16 pancakes.

Preheat your oven to 250 degrees Fahrenheit. In a medium bowl, whisk together 1 1/2 cups all-purpose flour, 2 teaspoons baking powder, 3/4 teaspoon cinnamon, and 1/4 teaspoon salt. In a large bowl, whisk 1 cup milk, 1/4 cup packed light brown sugar, 1 teaspoon vanilla, and 2 large eggs until the sugar dissolves.

Melt 2 tablespoons butter and let cool slightly, then whisk into the egg mixture. Add the flour mixture and whisk until just combined, leaving a few lumps. Grate 1 small red-skinned apple using the large holes of a box grater and stir into the batter.

Melt 1 tablespoon butter in a nonstick or cast-iron skillet over medium heat. Drop 2 tablespoons batter per pancake into the skillet. Cook until bubbles form and the edges are set, about 3 minutes. Flip and cook until puffed in the center, about 1 minute more.

Transfer the pancakes to a baking sheet and keep warm in the oven while cooking the remaining batter, adding more butter as needed. Serve with butter and your favorite maple syrup.

What to Watch Ahead

It’s a busy week for economic news. Tuesday brings home price data from Case-Shiller and the FHFA. On Wednesday, we’ll get the final estimate of second quarter GDP and the latest inflation reading from the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) report.

It’s also jobs week. Job openings arrive Tuesday, private-sector payrolls Wednesday, and weekly jobless claims Thursday. The week wraps up Friday with the closely watched employment report, including nonfarm payrolls and the unemployment rate.

Author: Abdel Khawatmi with PRMG Got Mortgages | 201-679-0422